Thanksgiving Day 2025 delivers a massive triple-header for NFL Football bettors: the Packers at Lions early tilt, Chiefs at Cowboys in the holiday afternoon centerpiece, and the Bengals at Ravens primetime showdown.
NFL Thanksgiving Day Games:
- Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions — 1:00 p.m. ET (FOX)
- Kansas City Chiefs @ Dallas Cowboys — 4:30 p.m. ET (CBS)
- Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens — 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)
This Thanksgiving brings a loaded triple-header — each game offers distinct angles for bettors, from offensive fireworks to defensive grind-outs. Below are estimated odds for each game, our betting predictions based on consensus and analysis, prop angles, and recommended bets.
(betting odds are subject to shifting before game time).
1. Packers @ Lions — Noon/1:00 p.m. ET
Market Lines (as of latest consensus)
- Spread: Lions –2.5
- Over/Under: 48.5
Packers – Lions Thanksgiving Game Outlook & Final Score Prediction
Detroit’s home crowd and offensive tempo give them a slight edge, but the Packers travel well and have shown they can manage pressure situations. Expect a competitive, slightly above-average scoring pace.
Prediction: Lions 27, Packers 24 — likely a close, 3-point margin with room for late fluctuations.
Packers @ Lions Prop & Betting Angles
- Under on Team Total (Packers under ~22 pts) — Packers tend to split drives; in cold-weather or slow games early, rushing-heavy drives dominate.
- Lions passing yardage props — modest value for WR1/TE, given defense metrics and Detroit’s own offensive identity.
- Game tempo props / under 48–50 total — if the weather or Detroit’s run plan slows things.
Early Risk/Reward Suggestions
- Lean under on over/under if the weather or defensive front shows play.
- Moderate tilt toward Lions spread + under total — balancing value with controlled expectations.
2. Chiefs @ Cowboys — 4:30 p.m. ET
Market Lines (latest consensus)
- Spread: Chiefs –3.5
- Over/Under: 52.5
Chiefs – Cowboys Thanksgiving Game Outlook & Final Score Prediction
Two high-powered offenses meet in Dallas — expect pace, volume, and scoring. The Cowboys’ home crowd and offensive weapons balance out the Chiefs’ efficiency and experience.
Prediction: Chiefs 30, Cowboys 27 — close, high-scoring, with potential for back-and-forth swings and late-game drama.
Possible Chiefs – Cowboys Prop & Betting Angles
- WR1/Yards Over — especially for top target ±90+ yards — volume likely high given game script.
- QB Passing Yards Over — pass-heavy script expected.
- Tight End / Slot Receiver Props — coming in red-zone / third-down situations.
- Team Total Overs for both teams — ceiling high given tempo, especially early drives.
3. Bengals @ Ravens — 8:20 p.m. ET
Market Lines (latest consensus)
- Spread: Ravens –7
- Over/Under: 51.5
Bengals – Ravens Thanksgiving Game Outlook & Final Score Prediction
This primetime AFC clash offers a mix of explosive offense (Bengals) and physical defense/home-field edge (Ravens). Expect a game where turnovers, defensive adjustments, and red-zone efficiency could swing the outcome.
Prediction: Ravens 24, Bengals 20 — a moderately-paced game with fewer fast-break plays, and tight decision-making late.
Popular Player Prop Bets for Thanksgiving Day NFL Games (2025)
Packers at Lions Thanksgiving Day Value Props GAME 1 – (1:00 p.m. ET)
These props are supported by recent usage trends, matchup stability, and median outcomes.
1. Jordan Love — Under 230.5 Passing Yards (–113)
- Trend: Love has struggled vs zone-heavy defenses and DET limits explosives.
- Expected Game Script: Lions lead → Packers forced into shorter throws.
2. Amon-Ra St. Brown — Under 74.5 Receiving Yards (–113)
- Green Bay typically removes WR1; this is one of the most consistent matchup tendencies.
3. Jameson Williams — Anytime TD (+180)
- Williams’ target depth and elite speed give this prop strong leverage in the red zone and deep-shot situations.
Aggressive Upside Thanksgiving Player Props – Packers at Lions
These cater to bettors seeking explosive outputs or parlay pieces.
1. Jordan Love — Over 1.5 Passing TDs (+160)
- Lions defense gives up chunk plays; correlates well with a “Packers chase” script.
2. Jahmyr Gibbs — Over 94.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (+115)
- If Detroit leans on pace, Gibbs can explode with 15+ touches.
3. Jameson Williams — 50+ Alternate Receiving Yards (+200)
- Deep-shot volatility gives this prop huge ceiling potential.
Chiefs at Cowboys Thanksgiving Day Value Props GAME 2 – (4:30 p.m. ET)
1. Rashee Rice — Over 68.5 Receiving Yards (–117)
- Rice has been the most stable target earner for Kansas City this season.
2. Patrick Mahomes — Over 246.5 Passing Yards (–114)
- High-tempo game vs DAL secondary that gives up consistent WR separation.
3. Jake Ferguson — Over 41.5 Receiving Yards (–115)
- The Chiefs’ scheme often forces checkdowns and intermediate TE targets.
Aggressive Upside Chiefs at Cowboys Thanksgiving Day NFL Props
1. Travis Kelce — Anytime TD (+120)
- Red-zone usage is still elite, and DAL struggles vs tight ends inside the 10.
2. CeeDee Lamb — Over 99.5 Alternate Receiving Yards (+185)
- If this becomes a shootout, Lamb can eclipse 100+ with ease.
3. Dak Prescott — Over 2.5 Passing TDs (+240)
- KC blitz rates force aggressive reads; Dak excels vs man-pressure.
Bengals at Ravens Thanksgiving Night Football Value Props GAME 3 – (8:20 p.m. ET)
1. Lamar Jackson — Under 25.5 Rushing Yards (–110)
- Recent gameplans keep Lamar in the pocket; CIN spies well.
2. Andrei Iosivas — Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (–110)
- With defensive focus on other weapons, Iosivas’ target share is quietly rising.
Aggressive Upside Prop Bets- Bengals at Ravens Thanksgiving Night Football Props
1. Lamar Jackson — 250+ Alternate Passing Yards (+220)
- If CIN sells out to stop the run, Lamar has a path to a big passing night.
2. Zay Flowers — Anytime TD (+165)
- He is Baltimore’s top red-zone separator; explosive catch-and-run potential.
Same Game Parlays Ideas Thanksgiving Day NFL Football Games:
Packers @ Lions (1:00 p.m. ET)
🔹 SGP A — Conservative / Value-Focused
- Under on Packers team total ≤ 22 points
- Lions under total 25.5 rushing yards (or RB rushing yards moderate)
- Under game total 48.5 – 50 pts
Why this bet could work: If Detroit controls pace with run-heavy drives and Green Bay avoids big pass plays — conservative script — total scoring stays low. Great for risk-managed players.
🔹 SGP B — Upside / Moderate-Risk
- Jordan Love Over 230.5 passing yards
- Jameson Williams anytime TD scorer
- Over 2.5 total passing TDs in game
Why this bet could work: If game script forces Packers to throw and Lions defense gives up chunk plays, these combine for big upside — but higher variance.
Chiefs @ Cowboys (4:30 p.m. ET)
🔹 SGP A — Balanced / Moderate Risk
- Rashee Rice Over 68.5 receiving yards
- Patrick Mahomes Over 246.5 passing yards
- Over game total 52.5 pts
Why this bet could work: High-tempo offenses, matchups favorable for passing volume. More modest targets give better hit probability.
🔹 SGP B — High-Risk / High-Reward
- CeeDee Lamb Over 99.5 receiving yards
- Dak Prescott Over 2.5 passing TDs
- Chiefs / Cowboys combined total Over 55 pts (alternate total)
Why this bet could work: If both offenses fire on all cylinders, this parlay captures maximal upside — but requires explosiveness and efficiency from multiple skill players.
Bengals @ Ravens (8:20 p.m. ET)
🔹 SGP A — Lower-Variance / Defensive-Lean
- Lamar Jackson Under 25.5 rushing yards
- Game total Under 51.5 pts
- Ravens moneyline
Why this bet could work: Ravens’ defense + home-field + controlled pace = lower overall scoring, fewer rushing attempts for Jackson. Good risk-managed play.
🔹 SGP B — Aggressive / Upside Target
- Lamar Jackson Over 250 passing yards (alternate prop)
- Zay Flowers anytime TD
- Over game total 54.5 pts (alternate total)
Why this bet could work: If Ravens or Bengals lean on passing — maybe due to weather or run-defense — the upside is massive. Great for players chasing big returns.
Quick Notes & Strategy Reminders
- Limit SGP legs to 3–4 picks — reduces risk and improves chance the parlay hits.
- Correlation matters: pick legs that reinforce each other (e.g. pass-heavy game → QB yards + WR yards + high total), avoid mixing contradictory legs (e.g. Under total + Over passing yards).
- Always re-check odds/lines after injury reports or weather updates; these can shift value dramatically.
- Treat “Upside” parlays more like a lottery — use smaller stakes, only risk what you can afford.
This Thanksgiving triple-header delivers one of the richest betting slates of the season. With high-powered offenses, tight division rivalries, and matchup versatility — there’s ample opportunity. Use smart risk management, balance your plays across spreads, totals, props and parlays, and focus on high-value plays rather than chasing every “shock result.”
When doors for props open and injury news lands, check back for real-time updates, odds shifts, and last-minute value. Enjoy the games — and gamble responsibly.
Happy Thanksgiving Day games from BetHouse!
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute gambling advice from BetHouse.com.
