The Week 6 NFL slate features a primetime Monday Night Football matchup between the Buffalo Bills and the Atlanta Falcons. Kickoff is set for 7:15 p.m. ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Buffalo aims to bounce back after a close loss, while Atlanta looks to exploit home-field energy and defensive strength. Key names to watch: Josh Allen, Stefon Diggs, James Cook, Bijan Robinson, Drake London, and Tyler Allgeier. Below, you’ll find the latest betting odds, top prop options, same-game parlay ideas, and expert predictions for tonight’s clash.
(Note: Betting odds and prop lines are subject to change as game time approaches.)
MNF Game Snapshot
- Spread: Bills −4.5
- Moneyline: Bills −225, Falcons +188
- Total (O/U): 49.5
Team Strengths & What to Watch
Buffalo Bills (road):
- Strengths: Explosive offense led by Josh Allen; balance with the run game via James Cook; ability to force big plays downfield.
- Risks: Turnovers and penalties have plagued them recently. Atlanta’s defense is among the best in pass coverage, which could limit efficiency.
Atlanta Falcons (home):
- Strengths: Top-tier pass defense in the league; strong run game options with Bijan Robinson and Allgeier; rest advantage off bye.
- Risks: Secondary depth and pressure on quarterback. If Buffalo’s line can hold up, Allen might exploit edges.
Injury / Status Notes:
- Falcons have ruled out WR Darnell Mooney (hamstring) for tonight.
- Bills’ rushing prop for Josh Allen (over/under ~33.5 yards) is in play based on his recent rushing volume.
- Check final inactive reports for WRs and RBs before publishing.
Popular Player Prop Betting Options
- Bijan Robinson Over 76.5 rushing yards
- Josh Allen Under 226.5 passing yards
- Josh Allen Over 33.5 rushing yards
- Drake London Over 69.5 receiving yards
(Prop lines are current as of publication — confirm with BetHouse before lock-in.)
Monday Night Football Predictions
- Score Prediction: Bills 30 — Falcons 24
- Best Lean: Bills −4.5, Total leans Under 49.5
- Player Insights:
- Robinson should exceed 76.5 rushing yards, especially if the Bills sell out to stop the run.
- Allen’s passing yards may be capped below 226.5 in tighter coverage, but his rushing uplift makes his over 33.5 yards interesting.
- London should see enough targets against a pass coverage-heavy defense to push over 69.5 yards.
Same-Game MNF Parlay Idea (High Risk / Higher Reward)
- Bills −4.5 AND Bijan Robinson Over 76.5 rushing yards AND Drake London Over 69.5 receiving yards
Combine a main spread lean with two player prop legs to boost upside. Adjust based on BetHouse’s live lines.
(All odds and predictions are for informational purposes only. This content does not constitute betting advice.)
8:15pm EST MNF Game: Bears – Commanders Betting Odds:
2024 2nd overall NFL draft pick Jayden Daniels and the Washington Commanders are the favorites to win against the 1st overall pick Caleb Williams and the Chicago Bears in tonight’s Monday Night Football 8:15 p.m. ET game at Northwest Stadium.
Here are the latest betting odds for Monday Night Football:
| Statistic | Commanders | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-115), -5.5 (-108), -5.5 (-110) | +4.5 (-105), +5.5 (-108), +5.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -225, -250, -254 | +185, +205, +220 |
| Total (Over/Under) | 49.5 (o-112; u-108), 49.5 (o-115; u-105) | 49.5 (o-112; u-108), 49.5 (o-115; u-105) |
(Odds may vary slightly; check with your sports book for the most up-to-date lines.)
Betting Ideas for MNF Bears – Commanders Tonight:
- Spread: The Commanders are favored by -4.5 or -5.5 points. Washington has shown to be effective as home favorites, covering the spread in 8 out of 10 games in this scenario since 2024. They have won by more than one possession in both of Jayden Daniels’ winning starts this season.
- Moneyline: The Commanders’ moneyline is set at -225 to -270, while the Bears’ moneyline is +185 to +220. If you believe Washington will win outright, the moneyline could be a less risky option compared to the spread. According to FantasyLabs, betting on the Commanders moneyline (-255) offers a higher chance of winning.
- Over/Under: The over/under for total points scored in the game is set at 49.5 points. Both teams have shown potential for high-scoring games. The Bears have gone over the point total in three of their four games this season. The Commanders offense, led by Jayden Daniels, has also shown the ability to produce points, scoring 27 points in their last win. The absence of Washington’s top receiver Terry McLaurin for the third straight game could shift their focus to the running game, which might lead to more points given Chicago’s struggles against the run. The Bears rank 31st in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (164.5) and dead last in yards allowed per carry (6.1).
- Player Props: Several player props are available for this game:
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt Over 63.5 Rushing Yards (-114): Washington’s strong running game combined with Chicago’s struggles against the run makes this an attractive option.
- Caleb Williams Over 232.5 Passing Yards (-115): The Bears are expected to be chasing points, which could lead to more passing attempts for Williams.
- Jayden Daniels Under 45.5 Rushing Yards (-115): While Daniels is mobile, the Bears have limited opposing quarterbacks’ rushing attempts and yards. His knee injury from Week 2 could also make him less inclined to run.
- Rome Odunze Anytime Touchdown (+145): Odunze has become the Bears’ primary receiver, leading the team in red-zone targets and scoring a touchdown in every game this season.
MNF Same Game Parlay Ideas:
- Commanders -4.5, Jacory Croskey-Merritt Over 63.5 Rushing Yards, and Caleb Williams Over 232.5 Passing Yards (+490).
- Commanders -4.5, Jacory Croskey-Merritt Over 63.5 Rushing Yards, Caleb Williams Over 232.5 Passing Yards, and Jayden Daniels Under 45.5 Rushing Yards (+1200).
Remember to always gamble responsibly and consider the risks involved before placing any bets. Our final score pick: Commanders 32 – Bears 18.
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