Week 14 kicks off with a pivotal NFC North matchup as the Green Bay Packers take on the Detroit Lions at Ford Field. With the Lions riding high on a 10-game win streak and the Packers surging with three straight victories, this game has major divisional and playoff implications.
Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video, and here’s what you need to know before placing your bets.
Game Lines (via ESPN BET)
- Spread: Lions -3.5
- Moneyline: Lions -185, Packers +155
- Over/Under: 51.5
Key Trends to Consider
- Lions as Favorites: Detroit is 18-7 ATS when favored over the last two seasons and 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games against the Packers.
- Packers Against Winning Teams: Green Bay is 0-4 ATS versus teams with winning records this season.
- Coaching Impact: Dan Campbell’s Lions have an impressive 44-19 ATS record in his tenure, while Matt LaFleur’s Packers are 22-9 ATS as underdogs.
Why the Packers Could Win
For the Packers to secure an upset, quarterback Jordan Love must capitalize on the Lions’ secondary, which allows the eighth-most passing yards in the league (226.8 per game). Love has been heating up, averaging over 260 passing yards in his last four outings.
A balanced attack will be key. Josh Jacobs must establish the run to prevent over-reliance on Love. The Packers are unbeaten (5-0) when Love completes at least 60% of his passes.
Why the Lions Could Win
Detroit’s offensive firepower is unmatched. Averaging a league-best 31.9 points per game, the Lions thrive on Jared Goff’s efficiency and the dynamic rushing duo of Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery.
With the Packers struggling to pressure quarterbacks (second-fewest sacks in the league), Goff is poised to exploit Green Bay’s defense. In their earlier meeting, Goff threw for 273 yards as the Lions cruised to a 24-14 victory.
Top Player Props
1. Jordan Love Over 249.5 Passing Yards (-120)
Love has surpassed this number in three of his last four games, including a 273-yard performance against Detroit in their last matchup.
2. Jahmyr Gibbs Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-140)
Gibbs has been electric in recent weeks, and with the Packers allowing 135.8 rushing yards per game, he’s well-positioned to shine.
3. Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
St. Brown remains Goff’s go-to target, and his consistent production makes this a strong play, especially against a Packers secondary that can struggle against elite receivers.
4. Brandon McManus Over 6.5 Kicking Points (-110)
Detroit’s stout red-zone defense could force the Packers into multiple field-goal attempts, giving McManus ample opportunities to exceed this total.
Final Thoughts
This divisional clash offers intriguing betting opportunities, from spreads to props. While the Lions are favorites, the Packers’ recent form and Love’s progress suggest this game could be closer than anticipated. Betting on Jordan Love’s passing yards or Jahmyr Gibbs’ rushing total could be profitable, while McManus’ kicking prop offers value given the Lions’ defensive strengths in the red zone.
Enjoy the game, and happy betting!