New England Patriots vs. New York Jets
Kickoff: Thursday, Nov 13, 8:15 p.m. ET (Gillette Stadium, Foxborough)
(Odds may shift leading up to kickoff, so be sure to double-check closer to game time.)
n a key AFC East divisional clash on Prime Video, the red-hot Patriots (8-2) host the Jets (2-7) as the NFL enters Week 11. New England is riding a seven-game winning streak and has emerged as a challenger in the conference, while New York has secured back-to-back wins but still sits firmly in rebuild mode. Big names to watch: Patriots QB Drake Maye looking to cement his MVP candidacy, Jets WR Garrett Wilson (if healthy) trying to spark an underrated offense, and the Patriots’ dominant run defense aiming to shut down New York’s ground game.
Thursday Night Football Week 11 Game Preview
Patriots:
The Patriots are suddenly one of the most complete teams in the league — top 10 in both scoring offense and scoring defense. Mike Vrabel’s group has assembled a stout front that leads the NFL in run-stop rate, which knocks the legs out from under a Jets unit that has leaned on the ground. While they remain vulnerable in the red zone (especially allowing chunk plays through the air), the overall form is elite.
Jets:
New York’s two-game win streak is encouraging, yet this is a team with major questions. They’ve traded away top defenders, their pass offense is among the worst in the league the last several weeks, and they’re still finding identity under coach Aaron Glenn. WR Garrett Wilson is nursing a knee injury, which further impacts an already thin receiver room. The challenge of stepping into Foxborough against this Patriots defense is significant.
Storylines:
- Can the Patriots continue their dominance at home vs. the Jets? They’ve won 13 of the last 14 meetings in Foxborough.
- Will the Jets’ offensive struggles and roster turnover catch up to them here?
- With the Patriots strong on defense and opportunistic on offense, is this a blowout in the making?
Betting Odds Snapshot
- Spread: Patriots −12.5 to −13 (Jets +12.5)
- Moneyline: Patriots around −850 | Jets around +575 to +600
- Over/Under (Total Points): 43.5
Props & Player Predictions for Thursday Night Football, Week 11: Patriots / Jets
Here are the top Thursday Night Football prop bets and predictions based on matchup and performance trends:
- Drake Maye Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns: The Jets’ secondary has surrendered more chunk plays and the Patriots are likely to dominate possession.
- TreVeyon Henderson Over 79.5 Rushing Yards: New England’s run game is clicking, and the Jets rank among the worst vs. the run—Henderson should have clear lanes.
- Mack Hollins Over 54.5 Receiving Yards: Hollins has emerged as a reliable target for Maye and this Jets defense struggles vs. WR2/WR3 level threats.
- Under 43.5 Total Points: With New England controlling tempo and New York’s offense inefficient, a lower-scoring game is realistic.
- Jets Anytime Touchdown – No: Given the Patriots’ defensive edge and Jets’ limited red-zone success, backing Jets to not find the end-zone is viable.
Thursday Night Football Same-Game Parlay Idea (High Risk / Higher Reward)
- Patriots −12.5
- Henderson Over 79.5 Rushing Yards
- Hollins Over 54.5 Receiving Yards
This parlay ties dominance in all phases — a Pats win, strong run game, and help from a breakout receiving target.
TNF Final Prediction
We’re projecting Patriots 31, Jets 13 — Patriots cover the −12.5 and the game leans Under 43.5 due to the Jets’ inefficiencies. Best bets: Patriots −12.5 and TreVeyon Henderson Over 79.5 Rushing Yards.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute betting advice.
