Saturday, January 17, 2026 — Bills @ Broncos • 49ers @ Seahawks
Broncos vs. Bills — AFC Divisional Round
Kickoff: 4:30 p.m. ET — Empower Field at Mile High
Latest Odds
- Spread: Broncos ~-1.5 favorites
- Moneyline: Close to pick ’em
- Total: ~46.5 points (Under lean)
Game Context
Denver enters on a significant winning streak and boasts one of the league’s best defensive fronts, while Buffalo comes in off a Wild Card win and big plays from its dual-threat quarterback. The Bills have been hit with injuries, and recent roster moves include activating WR Curtis Samuel and DT Ed Oliver, adding depth for today’s matchup.
Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos Playoff Prediction
This game projects as a tight, low-scoring battle between two well-matched teams. With Allen’s playoff experience and Denver’s stout defense, expect this to be close late:
Projected Score: Broncos 24, Bills 21
- Lean under 46.5 points
- Denver’s defense and altitude could make the difference at home.
Bills @ Broncos — Top Player Prop Picks
Bills Props
- Josh Allen OVER 208.5 passing yards — Allen’s ability to drive the offense through the air remains a core asset and projections support this total.
- Khalil Shakir OVER 49.5 receiving yards — Slot creation and target volume make Shakir a strong pass game contributor.
- Dalton Kincaid OVER 35.5 receiving yards — Tight end role worth backing in manageable matchups.
Broncos Props
- Bo Nix OVER 22.5 rushing yards — Nix’s mobility trends upward against a Bills defense vulnerable to QB run yards.
- Courtland Sutton OVER 49.5 receiving yards — Denver’s top WR projected for volume and yardage.
Player Prop Picks to Consider
- Josh Allen anytime TD scorer — Allen adds red-zone value.
49ers vs. Seahawks — NFC Divisional Round
Kickoff: 8:00 p.m. ET — Lumen Field
Latest Odds
- Spread: Seahawks ~-7 favorites
- Moneyline: Seattle favored strongly
- Total: ~45.5 (lean under)
Game Context
The 49ers arrive as significant underdogs, with bettors supporting them despite injuries to key contributors. The Seahawks are a top seed with home-field advantage and a staunch defense.
San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks Playoff Prediction
Expect a Seattle win and controlled game pace, with defensive stops shaping total scoring:
Projected Score: Seahawks 27, 49ers 17
- Seahawks to cover
- Lean under 45.5 points
49ers @ Seahawks — Our Top Player Prop Picks
49ers Player Props
- Christian McCaffrey OVER 54.5 rushing yards — McCaffrey remains the focal point in the run game with big-play upside.
- Christian McCaffrey OVER 50.5 receiving yards — Dual-threat usage fuels receiving stacks.
- Jauan Jennings OVER 40.5 receiving yards — Projections forecast heavy involvement.
- Brock Purdy OVER 22.5 completions — Passing work expected against stout Seattle defense.
- Jake Tonges OVER 35.5 Receiving Yards — With George Kittle out, Jake Tonges becomes a primary tight-end target in San Francisco’s passing attack. He averaged roughly 41.8 receiving yards in recent starts when filling in for Kittle and topped this proposed line several times
- Jauan Jennings Anytime Touchdown Scorer — With Kittle unavailable and Pearsall’s status uncertain, Jauan Jennings projects as a go-to red-zone target. Betting markets show he offers strong value relative to his touchdown upside, even though he has scored less recently.
- Zach Charbonnet OVER 46.5 Rushing Yards — Charbonnet is Seattle’s lead rusher and should see a heavy workload on the ground, especially if quarterback uncertainty limits deep shots or passing completions. Backfield focus and clock-control script enhance his expected touches and yardage.
Seahawks Payer Props
- Sam Darnold OVER 233.5 passing yards — Projection models favor his yardage totals.
- Zach Charbonnet OVER 46.5 rushing yards — Running game a consistent positive expected.
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba OVER 94.5 receiving yards — Elite WR1 demand in high-volume passing game.
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba OVER 6.5 Receptions — JSN leads Seattle in targets and receptions, often functioning as the short-to-intermediate field chain mover. If Darnold’s oblique affects downfield power throws, Smith-Njigba’s role in high-percentage catch opportunities makes the receptions prop appealing
NFL Divisional Round Same-Game Parlay (SGP) Ideas
Bills @ Broncos SGP
- Josh Allen OVER 208.5 passing yards
- Dalton Kincaid OVER 35.5 receiving yards (Kincaid was limited throughout the week, and is expected to suit up)
- Khalil Shakir OVER 49.5 receiving yards
49ers @ Seahawks SGP
- Christian McCaffrey OVER 50.5 receiving yards
- Zach Charbonnet OVER 46.5 rushing yards
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba OVER 94.5 receiving yards
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba OVER 6.5 receptions
Our Betting Strategy for NFL Divisional Round Playoff Games
Bills vs. Broncos Betting Strategy
- We’ll lean on a defensive battle and under the total
- Target Allen’s efficient passing upside
- Denver props tied to offensive balance
49ers vs. Seahawks Betting Strategy
- Seahawks favored with strong control
- Lean under with yardage rather than touchdowns
- McCaffrey’s all-purpose usage stands out
49ers Injury Context (vs. Seahawks)
For the NFC Divisional Round game at Seattle, the 49ers are dealing with several key injuries that could meaningfully affect offensive and defensive roles:
Out
- George Kittle — TE (Achilles) — season-ending; major offensive void.
- Fred Warner — LB (ankle) — will not be activated; missing leadership on defense.
- Ji’Ayir Brown — S (hamstring) — out.
Questionable / Limited
- Ricky Pearsall — WR (knee) — questionable; status could limit snaps.
- Jacob Cowing — WR (hamstring) — questionable; might limit receiving depth.
- Dee Winters — LB (ankle) — limited; could impact linebacker rotations.
- Luke Gifford — LB (quadriceps) — questionable.
Likely Playing / No recent injury issues
- Trent Williams — OT (hamstring) — practiced; expected to play.
- Christian McCaffrey — RB — active starter and centerpiece. (Implied from prop listings)
These injuries impact short passing options and defensive matchups, potentially increasing roles for secondary receivers and running backs.
Seattle Seahawks Injury Context (vs. 49ers)
As the Seattle Seahawks prepare to host the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Divisional Round, their primary injury concern centers on the quarterback position:
Key Injury Notes
- Sam Darnold — QB (Oblique) — Questionable
Darnold was added to the Seahawks’ injury report with an oblique issue suffered in practice and is listed as questionable for the divisional game. He has not thrown since the injury occurred, though the team remains optimistic he’ll play, and backup Drew Lock has taken first-team reps in case Darnold can’t go.
Other Seahawks Injury Considerations
According to the team’s official report and final practice logs:
- Josh Jones — OT (Knee) — Out
- Other notable names generally practicing or without game status concerns: Charles Cross (OT) practiced fully; DeMarcus Lawrence has been limited but expected to play; others like A.J. Barner and Coby Bryant were participating as usual.
Impact Summary:
If Darnold plays, his passing volume and mobility may be slightly constrained, which could tilt Seattle’s game script toward shorter passes and more designed runs in key situations. If he cannot go, Drew Lock’s limited in-game experience this season could reduce Seattle’s passing yardage overall and increase reliance on the run game and short receiving routes.
