Thursday Night Football Falcons at Buccaneers Odds & Predictions

Thursday Night Football Week 15 Betting Odds & Predictions Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Kickoff: Thursday, December 11, 8:15 p.m. ET (Raymond James Stadium — Tampa, FL)
(Odds may shift leading up to kickoff, so be sure to double‑check closer to game time.)

Week 14 ended with a Monday Night Football thriller that went down to the wire, in a game that highlighted Eagle’s quarterback Jalen Hurt’s year-long offensive struggles. Week 15 kicks off with a divisional NFC South showdown as the Falcons (4‑9) travel to Tampa Bay (7‑6) in a game with playoff positioning and division tiebreakers on the line. The Buccaneers are slight favorites at home, while Atlanta will lean on stars like Bijan Robinson and Kyle Pitts and try to keep pace through balanced aggression. This one has shootout potential — especially through the air and in short‑yardage rushing situations.

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Thursday Night Football Game Preview

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Bucs enter this Thursday night bout with some recent struggles — dropping critical NFC South games and coming off a close loss to the Saints — but are still atop the division with a chance to build separation. Tampa Bay may get boosts from the possible return of Mike Evans and Jalen McMillan, giving QB Baker Mayfield more weapons and creating matchup problems for Atlanta’s secondary.

Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta is eliminated from playoff contention but remains dangerous in spurts. Kirk Cousins starts under center with Drake London out, and the offense will rely heavily on Bijan Robinson out of the backfield and Kyle Pitts in the intermediate passing game. The Falcons have dropped multiple straight but have shown flashes of production when Robinson controls the formula.

TNF Storylines

• Tampa Bay’s urgent push to hold the NFC South lead at home.
• Atlanta fighting for pride and leverage as a road underdog in prime time.
• Possible return from injury for Bucs receivers could significantly alter matchups.

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Thursday Night Football Betting Odds Snapshot (Latest)

Bet Type	Line / Odds
Spread	Buccaneers −4.5 (−105) / Falcons +4.5 (−115)
Moneyline	Buccaneers −235 / Falcons +194
Over/Under (Total Points)	44.5 (Over −110 / Under −110)

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Popular Props Chart — Falcons vs. Buccaneers (TNF Week 15)

Here’s a snapshot of popular player props bettors are targeting for tonight’s matchup — all involving currently active players:

Player	Prop Bet	Typical Line / Angle
Baker Mayfield (TB)	Over 217.5 Passing Yards	Bucs need rhythm; Mayfield has upside vs. shaky Falcons secondary.
Bucky Irving (TB)	Anytime Touchdown	Irving getting volume and red‑zone chances; value at +125.
Bijan Robinson (ATL)	Over 74.5 Rushing Yards	Falcons lean on their front; Robinson’s usage is high.
Kyle Pitts (ATL)	Over ~58.5 Receiving Yards	A focal target with London out.
Emeka Egbuka (TB)	Over ~44.5 Receiving Yards	Emerging as a deeper option for Mayfield.
Total Points	Under 44.5	Models and sharp action lean toward a lower‑scoring divisional fight.

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Thursday Night Football Player Props & Predictions

Here’s how we see key individual performances:

Baker Mayfield — Over 217.5 Passing Yards

Mayfield’s ability to mix throws to backs and receivers suits this matchup. With Atlanta allowing production on short and intermediate passes, this is a strong bet.

Bucky Irving — Anytime Touchdown

Irving has goal‑line appeal and positive usage running and receiving. With Tampa expected to lean on balance, Irving’s red‑zone presence makes him a reliable anytime TD candidate.

Bijan Robinson — Over 74.5 Rushing Yards

Even against a decent run defense, Robinson’s volume can lead to a big day — especially if the game stays close and Atlanta tries to control tempo.

Kyle Pitts — Over 59.5 Receiving Yards

With Drake London out, Pitts becomes a go‑to target in the intermediate game, especially in favorable mismatches.

Emeka Egbuka — Over 44.5 Receiving Yards

As Mayfield’s emerging secondary target, Egbuka’s volume looks solid — especially in a medium‑pace game where Tampa Bay tries to sustain drives.

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TNF Same‑Game Parlay Idea (Higher Risk / Higher Reward)

SGP Ticket (+500)

• Buccaneers −4.5
• Bijan Robinson Over 39.5 Receiving Yards
• Kyle Pitts Over 59.5 Receiving Yards
• Emeka Egbuka Over 48.5 Receiving Yards
  This diversified parlay mixes team outcome with mid‑range yardage props poised for volume spikes.

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Final Prediction – Thursday Night Football Falcons at Buccaneers

Bucs 24, Falcons 17 — lean Buccaneers −4.5, and expect the Under 44.5 to hit. Tampa Bay’s urgency and healthier weapons — especially with potential Evans/McMillan returns — give them a decisive edge at home, while Atlanta’s offensive inconsistencies limit scoring upside. Best bets: Buccaneers −4.5 and Baker Mayfield Over 217.5 Passing Yards.

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