Thursday Night Football Week 5 Betting Odds & Predictions

Week 5 features a marquee NFC West clash: the San Francisco 49ers (3-1) visit the Los Angeles Rams (3-1) in prime time. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Injuries and roster depth will be major storylines — with Brock Purdy out and key receivers unavailable, Mac Jones and an underdog 49ers offense try to keep pace with Matthew Stafford and Puka Nacua.
(Odds may shift leading up to kickoff, so be sure to double-check closer to game time.)


Game Preview

  • San Francisco 49ers:
    The 49ers enter this game depleted: QB Brock Purdy is unavailable, George Kittle, Jauan Jennings, and Ricky Pearsall are among several offensive starters out. Mac Jones has to steer the ship with a patched-together receiving group (Dearcus Robinson, Kendrick Bourne, Marquez Valdes-Scantling). The run game will likely be limited, so SF may be forced to throw more than usual, and protection will be critical. Defensively, without Nick Bosa (out for season), the pass rush is hampered, and the secondary is shorthanded — giving Stafford room to operate.
  • Los Angeles Rams:
    The Rams look healthier and balanced. Matthew Stafford has found chemistry with Puka Nacua, and Kyren Williams provides a ground threat that demands defensive respect. LA’s offensive line and weapons appear more stable. Defensively, they can pressure and contain the makeshift 49ers offense more comfortably, especially at home. The Rams’ advantage in depth and health could be the deciding factor in this short-week matchup.
  • Storylines:
    • Can Mac Jones spark a makeshift offense against a hungry Rams defense?
    • Will LA lean on balanced offense and control tempo?
    • Injuries could tip the dynamic heavily in Rams’ favor in the second half.

Betting Odds Snapshot

  • Spread: Rams −3.0 (−110) | 49ers +3.0 (−110)
  • Moneyline: Rams −160 | 49ers +135
  • Over / Under (Total Points): 47.0 (Over −108 | Under −112)

These are early look-ahead lines per Covers’ TNF odds reporting. Expect some adjustment closer to kickoff. (Odds subject to change before gametime.)


Props & Player Predictions

Here are prop bets and forecasts based on current lines and matchup dynamics:

Player PropPrediction
Puka Nacua Over 89.5 Receiving YardsHe’s Stafford’s top target in a game where the 49ers defense may yield underneath and midrange targets.
Kyren Williams Over 56.5 Rushing YardsWith San Francisco’s defensive line stretched and less pressure off the edge (without Bosa), Williams has room to run.
Mac Jones Under 223.5 Passing YardsGiven limited receivers and pressure potential, Jones will likely be conservative and struggle to hit high yardage.
Kendrick Bourne Over 38.5 Receiving YardsAmong the viable receivers left, Bourne should see volume as a reliable target for Jones.
Matthew Stafford Over 234.5 Passing YardsThe 49ers’ secondary is vulnerable, and Stafford should be tested to push past his number.

Same-Game Parlay Idea (High Risk / Higher Reward)

  • Rams −3.0
  • Puka Nacua Over 89.5 Receiving Yards
  • Kyren Williams Over 56.5 Rushing Yards

This parlay ties the Rams winning decisively with their two main offensive weapons exceeding yardage thresholds — higher reward, higher variance.


Final Prediction

Rams 30, 49ers 20 — Rams cover the 3.0, and the over 47.0 is plausible with the 49ers forced to throw more. Lean Rams −3.0 and Puka Nacua Over 89.5 as top bets.

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